Conséquences des essais nucléaires de 1945 à 1980
Résumé de l’article : This study suggests that the cause of the stagnation in global warming in the mid 20th century was the atmospheric nuclear explosions detonated between 1945 and 1980. The estimated GST drop due to fine dust from the actual atmospheric nuclear explosions based on the published simulation results by other researchers (a single column model and Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Model) has served to explain the stagnation in global warming. Atmospheric nuclear explosions can be regarded as full-scale in situ tests for nuclear winter. The non-negligible amount of GST drop from the actual atmospheric explosions suggests that nuclear winter is not just a theory but has actually occurred, albeit on a small scale. The accuracy of the simulations of GST by IPCC would also be improved significantly by introducing the influence of fine dust from the actual atmospheric nuclear explosions into their climate models; thus, global warming behavior could be more accurately predicted.
Exemples de thèmes
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Anomaly in global-meansurface temperature (GST) between 1880 and 2008.
Blackline : original data and their trend (the broken line).
Red triangles : eruptions whose VEI (volcan ice xplosivity index) is equal or greater than 5.
Green vertical bars : annual yield of atmospheric nuclear explosions (UNSCEAR, 2000).
Blue line : corrected GST (0.3K was added toGST data of 1945 and later) based on Thompson et al.(2008) and its trend (the broken line).
Red line : re-corrected GST anomaly based on effects of atmospheric nuclear explosion (Dt was set at 2 years) and Thompson et al.(2008), and its trend (the broken line).
Green line : imaginary linear global warming trend. Gray line : sunspots
Sources :
Les informations qui figurent sur cette page sont des extraits du contenu de l’article The role of atmospheric nuclear explosions on the stagnation of global warming in the mid 20thcentury, de Yoshiaki Fujii, publié dans Journal of Atmospheric and Solar-Terrestrial Physics 73 (2011) 643–652
Climat
Dernière mise à jour : 21/01/2018
